RE: Any tentative date scheduled for the release of STS...
Erica,
I worked 18 years in Software. I agree 100%. Every project has a deadline. In software, we use estimation techniques like function point analysis, that have been honed over time, to make estimates. For something creative, or where the requirements are not frozen fully, we develop the project in mini-cycles in an iterative plan. The end date at any point of time is only estimated for a small set of features, not the whole thing.
With all this, most projects are NOT completed on time. Check this out for instance:
http://blogs.zdnet.com/ITFacts/?p=5959
You can get more statistics from sources like SEI which will tell you the same thing - an astounding percentage of projects are delayed.
Project planning is used in so many spheres - software development, construction, producing a fitness DVD....I dont think the estimation and risk management techniques can carry over from one sphere to another without taking into account context. Basic rules though:
- unless you are doing something cookie cutter (which STS is not), time cannot be tightly estimated. The more leeway for creativity you want in the project, the larger the challenge with estimation.
- the more the dependencies on third parties (DVD replication, graphics design, scoring an original soundtrack) the larger the risk of slippage.
~* Vrinda *~