I though it was time for one of the John's to go last week. JPL is just too goofy (which I usually like in a person) to be an American Idol (and his weird "dancing" was getting annoying). Amy (with the pink hair) was better than him and got booted. I like John Stevens, but his genre is very limited: if they had an "ode to Bing Crosby" or "Best hits of Dean Martin" week, he'd do great. Frankly, I'm surprised that both of them lasted this long. I think it might be like last year, when a not-as-good singer (the army guy who got to 4th place, but when he finally left, the last 3 sounded so much better when they sang together!) got pretty far along just for sentimental (and in that case displaced patriotic) reasons.
Right now, I think Fantasia is the top contender. But some of the others could use the pressure to up their game.
I definitely think this year's AI will be African American.